WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• Heavy data this week for AU & US markets with RBA, GDP, NFP headlining this week.
• Aussie is currently hovering under 67c after bullish momentum boosted the pair last week.
• Expecting the AUDUSD to range between 0.6600 and 0.6710 this week on technical analysis.

• This week we have a few major headlining data this week for AU & US Markets.

• RBA this week in Australia, with the RBA expected to keep rates on hold @ 4.35%, despite CPI numbers falling on the monthly indicator.

• Also expecting no changes to forward guidance on the RBA.

• NFP in the US market this Friday, expecting the unemployment rate to remain the same at 3.9% and an increase in employment by 35k from previous numbers, expected 185k.

• Expecting the US labour market to continue deteriorating in 2024.

• USD is likely to remain heavy this week and can expect some volatility from the high impact data events this week.

Economic Calendar: Mon 4th December 2023 – Fri 8th December 2023 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time (AEDT) Event Country Forecast Previous
Tues 2:30pm Cash Rate / RBA Rate Statement AU 4.35% 4.35%
Wed 2:00am ISM Services PMI US 52.5 51.8
    JOLTS Job Openings US 9.33M 9.55M
  11:30am GDP q/q US 0.4% 0.4%
Thur 12:15am ADP Non-Farm Employment Change US 120K 113K
Fri 12:30am Unemployment Claims US 221K 218K
Sat 12:30am Average Hourly Earnings m/m US 0.3% 0.2%
    Non-Farm Employment Change US 185K 150K
    Unemployment Rate US 3.9% 3.9%
  2:00am Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment US 62.0 61.3

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK