WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• Fairly lightweight week this week regarding data, nothing of material market-moving impact.
• USD is expected to continue its range move this week with talks around FOMC chatter.
• AUD is likely to follow the USD move due to the lack of economic events influencing the currency.

• USD is expected to take the lead this week and control the market’s movement due to the lack of economic events.

• USD is expected to continue its range/consolidation phase this week.

• The markets are still pricing for the first US rate cut to occur in May.

• AUD is likely to follow the USD trend and take its cues from the US market due to the lack of local economic data.

• There is an Australian public holiday on Friday, resulting in a thinner Australian open liquidity.

• Chinese metal markets may continue to weigh on the Aussie dollar this week as steel makers cut back production.

Economic Calendar: Mon 22nd January 2024 – Fri 26th January 2024 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time (AEDT) Event Country Forecast Previous
Thur 1:45am Flash Manufacturing PMI US 47.6 47.9
    Flash Services PMI US 51.0 51.4
Fri 12:30am Advance GDP q/q US 2.0% 4.9%
    Unemployment Claims US 199K 187K
  All Day Bank Holiday AU N/A N/A
Sat 12:30am Core PCE Price Index m/m US 0.2% 0.1%

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK