WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• Headlining data for US & AU markets are the Core PCE index & AU CPI, respectively.
• Aussie is currently hovering under 66c after bullish momentum boosted the pair last week.
• Expecting the AUDUSD to range between 0.6530 and 0.6620 this week on technical analysis.

• USD likely to remain subdued this week, mainly due to low volatility and low impact data this week.

• The OPEC+ meeting on Thursday can provide some bearish movement to the USD, if the board deliver an unexpectedly large cut to oil production. Conversely, the Aussie will rise.

• The Aussie dollar respected the 66c level last week in conjunction with the weaker USD.

• Local AUD economic data this week, specifically the AU CPI will be the highlight and could provide some temporary bearish momentum movement if the number is lower than the previous of 5.6%.

• We can expect another retest of the 66c level this week, potentially breaking through.

Economic Calendar: Mon 27th November 2023 – Fri 1st December 2023 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time (AEDT) Event Country Forecast Previous
Tues 2:30pm RBA Gov Bullock Speaks AU N/A N/A
Wed 2:00am CB Consumer Confidence US 101.0 102.6
  11:30am CPI y/y AU 5.2% 5.6%
Thur 12:30am Prelim GDP q/q US 5.0% 4.9%
  All Day OPEC-JMMC Meetings All N/A N/A
Fri 12:30am Core PCE Price Index m/m US 0.2% 0.3%
    Unemployment Claims US 219K 209K
Sat 2:00am ISM Manufacturing PMI US 47.7 46.7
  3:00am Fed Chair Powell Speaks US N/A N/A

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK