WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• High-impact data with US CPI & PPI the key headliners, RBA Gov Bullock to speak on the future.
• US CPI y/y expected @2.6% and US PPI m/m expected @ 0.2%. BLOOD ON THE STREETS!
• AUDUSD is expected to recover from its HUGE fall, pivoting between 0.5885 – 0.6288.

• THERE’S BLOOD ON THE STREETS!

• All global markets saw RED on Friday night with the full impacts of the tariffs flowing through all asset classes with FX pairs taking a gigantic HIT!

• The AUDUSD lost 4.5 cents in one night, dropping from 0.6390 to 0.5932, ABSOLUTE MAYHEM.

• The USD gained immense strength on Friday night as Trump’s full tariff plan took effect, strengthening US markets and weakening other global markets.

• AUDUSD will primarily be driven this week by tariff news, so we could see further bearish moves unless we see respite from data.

• AUDUSD can stay below 60c if we see more retaliation from global markets against the US plan.

• US CPI expected to come in at 2.6% y/y (prev 2.8%), which is negative for the USD.

Economic Calendar: Mon 7th April 2025 – Fri 11th April 2025 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time(AEST) Event Country Forecast Previous
Thur 4:00am FOMC Meeting Minutes US N/A N/A
  8:00pm RBA Gov Bullock Speaks AU N/A N/A
  10:30pm Core CPI m/m US 0.3% 0.2%
    CPI y/y US 2.6% 2.8%
    Unemployment Claims US 223K 219K
Fri 10:30pm Core PPI m/m US 0.3% -0.1%
    PPI m/m US 0.2% 0.0%
Sat 12:00am Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations US TBA 5.0%

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK